很多美国人认为中国将在十年内成为经济超级大国

Poll Finds Most Americans See China As Economic Superpower in 10 Years

A significant number of Americans believe China will be stronger economically than the U.S. in 10 years, according to the latest Harris Interactive poll, and many believe that strength may pose a threat to U.S. interests.

About 70% of U.S. adults say they think China will become an economic superpower in the next 10 years, according to the online poll of 1,822 adults. About 41% think Japan will be as well, followed by the European Union (31%), United Kingdom (25%), India (20%) and Russia (15%).

While just under half of U.S. adults think no countries or regions will be stronger than the U.S. in 10 years, nearly as many U.S. adults (42%) think China will be stronger than the U.S. Only 18% believe Japan will be stronger, and 15% feel the European Union will be.

But the poll indicates Americans are most concerned about the impact China's economic strength may have on the U.S. More than a third of U.S. adults polled say they are very or extremely concerned about China's economic strength and 53% of those polled think China will have a negative effect on the future of the U.S. economy. At the same time, more than half of those polled are very or extremely concerned about China becoming militarily stronger in 10 years.

Other countries that are perceived to have more of a negative effect than positive effect on the U.S. economy include India (36% vs. 15%) and Russia (25% vs. 13%).

Meanwhile, the poll finds most Americans feel it would be in the best interests of the U.S. if certain other countries or regions are encouraged to grow and prosper. For the traditionally strong U.S. allies, the United Kingdom (47% vs. 7%), Japan (40% vs. 25%) and the European Union (29% vs. 22%) are thought to have more of a potential positive effect than negative effect on the U.S. economy.

Here are the results of the latest poll:

"When you think of an economic superpower, which of these countries or regions come to mind as being one?"*

Base: All Adults

Definitely a Superpower (5) (4) (3) (2) Definitely Not a Superpower (1)

U.S. 67% 19% 10% 3% 1%

Japan 30 35 26 6 3

China 29 34 27 7 3

United Kingdom 18 30 36 11 4

European Union 14 27 35 17 7

Russia 6 17 35 28 13

India 2 11 36 29 22

* One a scale of 1 to 5, with 1 being definitely not a superpower and 5 being definitely a superpower.

* * *

"Do you think these countries will have a positive or negative effect on the future of the U.S. economy?"

Base: All Adults

Positive (NET) Very Positive Somewhat Positive Neither Positive Nor Negative Somewhat Negative Very Negative Negative (NET)

United Kingdom 47% 10% 38% 46% 5% 1% 7%

Japan 40 7 33 35 20 5 25

European Union 29 4 25 49 17 4 22

China 23 4 18 24 34 20 53

India 15 2 12 49 26 10 36

Russia 13 1 11 62 20 5 25

* * *

"Would it be in the best interest of the U.S. if we encouraged these economies to grow and prosper, or should we be concerned about them?"

Base: All Adults

Grow and Prosper Be Concerned Not Sure

United Kingdom 69% 9% 22%

European Union 55 18 27

Japan 47 31 22

Russia 45 31 24

India 39 35 26

China 24 58 18

* * *

"In 10 years, which countries or regions will be a superpower?"

Base: All Adults

Total

China 70%

Japan 41

European Union 31

United Kingdom 25

India 20

Russia 15

None of these 11

* * *

"In 10 years, which countries or regions will be stronger or weaker than the U.S.?"

Base: All Adults

Stronger Weaker

Total Total

China 42% 23%

Japan 18 33

European Union 15 44

India 5 61

Russia 5 62

United Kingdom 4 51

None of these 46 12

* * *

"How concerned are you that each of the following countries or regions may become economically stronger in 10 years?"

Base: All Adults

Extremely or Very Concerned (NET) Extremely Concerned Very Concerned Concerned Somewhat Concerned Not at all Concerned

China 35% 17% 18% 22% 21% 22%

Japan 13 5 8 19 25 43

India 12 4 8 19 26 43

Russia 7 3 5 18 30 45

European Union 7 2 5 14 26 53

United Kingdom 3 1 2 12 20 65

* * *

"How concerned are you that each of the following countries or regions may become militarily stronger in 10 years"

Base: All Adults

Extremely or Very Concerned (NET) Extremely Concerned Very Concerned Concerned Somewhat Concerned Not at all Concerned

China 52% 29% 23% 21% 15% 13%

Russia 21 9 12 25 26 27

India 18 7 11 21 24 36

Japan 16 7 9 19 20 45

European Union 9 4 5 13 20 58

United Kingdom 5 2 3 10 13 72

Methodology: This survey was conducted online in the U.S., Oct. 11-17, 2005 among a nationwide cross sections of 1,822 adults. Figures for age, sex, race, education, region and household income were weighted where necessary to bring them into line with their actual proportions in the population. Propensity score weighting was used to adjust for respondents' propensity to be online. In theory, with probability samples of these sizes, one could say with 95% certainty that the results have a statistical precision of +/-2 percentage points of what they would be if the entire U.S. population had been polled with complete accuracy. 很多美国人认为中国将在十年内成为经济超级大国

Harris Interactive 最新的民意调查显示，相当多的美国人相信，中国的经济实力在十年内将超过美国，而且很多人认为这可能对美国利益构成威胁。

这项由 1,822 位美国成年人参与的网上调查显示，约 70% 的受访者认为中国在未来十年中将成为经济超级大国，约 41% 的人认为日本也将成为经济超级大国，之后依次是欧盟 (European Union, 31%) 、英国 (25%) 、印度 (20%) 和俄罗斯 (15%) 。

虽然略低于半数的美国人认为没有哪个国家或地区在未来十年中将强于美国，但还是相当多的受访者 (42%) 预计中国将超过美国。只有 18% 和 15% 的人分别选择了日本和欧盟。

但是，这项民意调查表明，中国经济实力增强可能对美国产生的影响已成为美国人最为担心的事情。超过三分之一的受访者称，他们非常或极其担心中国的经济实力， 53% 的受访者说，中国将对美国经济前景造成负面影响。同时，半数以上的受访者非常甚至极其担心中国在今后十年的军事力量将走强。

被认为负面影响超过正面影响的其他国家可能包括印度 ( 认为有负面影响的占受访者的 36% ，认为有正面影响的占 15% ，即 36%:15%) 和俄罗斯 (25%:13%) 。

同时，民意调查显示，多数美国人认为如果其他某些国家或地区繁荣发展，将符合美国的最大利益。在美国传统的强有力盟友中，人们认为英国 (47%:7%) 、日本 (40%:25%) 和欧盟 (29%:22%) 对美国经济的正面影响将超过负面影响。

http://online.wsj.com/public/article/SB113173277644894971-6sNBhmf_F1PJSPgRtO8Oo0kOr3Y_20061114.html?mod=tff_main_tff_top

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70% Americans see China as economic superpower in 10 years

www.chinaview.cn 2005-11-15 16:32:21

  BEIJING, Nov. 15 -- A significant number of Americans believe China will be stronger economically than the U.S. in 10 years, according to the latest Harris Interactive poll, and many believe that strength may pose a threat to U.S. interests.

  About 70% of U.S. adults say they think China will become an economic superpower in the next 10 years, according to the online poll of 1,822 adults. About 41% think Japan will be as well, followed by the European Union (31%), United Kingdom (25%), India (20%) and Russia (15%).

  While just under half of U.S. adults think no countries or regions will be stronger than the U.S. in 10 years, nearly as many U.S. adults (42%) think China will be stronger than the U.S. Only 18% believe Japan will be stronger, and 15% feel the European Union will be.

  But the poll indicates Americans are most concerned about the impact China's economic strength may have on the U.S. More than a third of U.S. adults polled say they are very or extremely concerned about China's economic strength and 53% of those polled think China will have a negative effect on the future of the U.S. economy.

  Other countries that are perceived to have more of a negative effect than positive effect on the U.S. economy include India (36% vs. 15%) and Russia (25% vs. 13%).

  Meanwhile, the poll finds most Americans feel it would be in the best interests of the U.S. if certain other countries or regions are encouraged to grow and prosper. For the traditionally strong U.S. allies, the United Kingdom (47% vs. 7%), Japan (40% vs. 25%) and the European Union (29% vs. 22%) are thought to have more of a potential positive effect than negative effect on the U.S. economy.

  (Source: China Daily/THE WALL STREET JOURNAL ONLINE)



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